Li Youya: You know3month22Daily spot crude oil.Do you have any suggestions for asphalt operation?

Li Youya: You know3month22Daily Spotcrude oil.Do you have any suggestions for asphalt operation?
Last week and even this week, the price of US crude oil rose for the first time40dollar/The price of a barrel. Since, the oil price has increased2015year2month11Richuang Xia26The record for the US dollar has started, and the increase in US dollar oil is approaching50%。
According to the data statistics of the author Li Youya, the rebound in oil prices is mainly related to concerns that crude oil suppliers will cut production capacity and end the two-year oil and gas supply feast, which is4month17The upcoming "frozen production" agreement meeting on the th. However, from the perspective of long-term support, frozen production cannot fully represent a reduction in production, and the fundamentals of oil prices cannot be fundamentally improved. Especially, the global economy is currently in a weak stage. After China lowered its basic interest rates last year, Japan and Europe have also successively lowered interest rates and implemented monetary easing policies. So oil prices may rebound before monetary policy is properly addressed, but only by truly addressing economic issues can oil prices gain solid support, otherwise this unstable market rebound will be difficult to sustain.
On the other hand, last month Saudi Arabia's oil minister publicly stated to the US shale oil industry that the market will crush them because their cost structure determines that they cannot survive the current price war, which will ultimately lead to a drop in oil prices20Around the US dollar. However, so far, American shale oil players have indeed shown astonishing resilience, always finding ways to cope with price declines. Saudi Arabia cannot be reconciled to the current situation, because of course, Saudi Arabia hopes that the US shale oil industry will be overwhelmed by the market, rather than being overwhelmed by the shale oil industry.
Therefore, this round of increase in crude oil is likely to not last long.
At present, US crude oil has already touched the technical trend63，51and41The downward trend line indicates that the probability of a technical trend being supported by fundamentals is greater than the upward pressure. So the author Li Youya suggests that investment friends should not forget the operation of short orders when looking long, as there may seem to be a danger, but there is actually a lot of room for profit to be seen.
　　11:00Suggestions for spot asphalt operation: asphalt3460Short selling nearby Stop loss3520 Target View3340
Suggestions for spot crude oil operation: crude oil257Short selling nearby Stop loss260Target View245. To learn more about the market, please search for Li Youya on Baidu or360Find Li Youya's Cocoa account in:3175327579Microfacies numberzkk554。