Li Youya:3month22Daily frozen production agreementPKSuggestion for Fed hawks to place spot silver orders today

Li Youya:3month22Daily frozen production agreementPKSuggestion for Fed hawks to place spot silver orders today
Fundamentals:
According to data released by the American Association of Real Estate Brokers on Monday, the United States2monthNARMonthly sales rate of completed houses decreased after quarterly adjustment7.1%, creating2010year7The largest month on month decline, estimated to decrease2.9%At an annual rate of508Ten thousand households, creating a new year11New low since the beginning of the month, estimated to be532Ten thousand households. And the United States1monthNARConfirmed increase in monthly sales rate of completed houses after quarterly adjustment0.4%At an annual rate of547Ten thousand households. The performance of the secondary data was not as expected, but1-2Monthly Housing Sales The average value is still within a reasonable range.
Yesterday, Atlanta Fed Chairman Lockhart stated in a prepared speech that the US economy has "ample momentum" to support the Fed's interest rate hike as early as next month, which boosted the US dollar.4The monthly interest rate hike is definitely earlier than many investors had expected, as4There will be no press conference after the monthly meeting. Lockhart reiterated that it was possible at every subsequent meeting that his overall tone of speech was slightly hawkish, which was the main reason for yesterday's support for the US dollar Su.
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)Secretary General Badri stated on Monday that as Iran seeks to increase exports, it can later join other oil producing countries' plans to freeze production to support oil prices.OPECMember and non member oil producing countries will4month17On the day of the meeting in Qatar to discuss the freeze production plan, but1Yuexi After lifting sanctions, Iran is still seeking to increase exports.
Technical aspect:
The US dollar index has hit its previous low range94.5Nearby, it rebounds to95.5Nearby, the support below is very obvious in the short term, and the axis chart has also touched the previous lead support area. After the US dollar index hit a low point last Friday and rebounded, corresponding commodity prices have shown a certain degree of correction. Based on the corresponding relationship between the US dollar and commodities, the US dollar has rebounded, and there is a demand for commodities to fall back.
Yesterday, the overall trend of asphalt maintained a fluctuating and slight rebound pattern, while the international marketcrude oilAlready touched40Based on the previous trend of crude oil prices, the several high points that have appeared are62-51And the current42Nearby, that is10The high point difference around a point, and the difference between points, reflects more of a cycle of time and points, that is10There is a possibility of a pullback and demand in the cycle of around points, coupled with the rebound in crude oil prices from the low point reaching61.8%From the perspective of time cycles and technical graphs, there is a certain demand for a pullback. Based on the above analysis, the conclusion is that the high position does not catch up with the rise, and the rebound still maintains a bearish mentality to cope. It is worth paying attention to the daily trend5Daily moving average and10The support of the daily moving average, as long as it does not break below10With the support of the daily moving average, the overall strong pattern will still be maintained.
In terms of silver, with the short-term technical rebound in the US dollar index and the expectation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, it is expected that the rebound space of silver will also be limited. Therefore, the idea of maintaining a high range of fluctuations is temporarily maintained, and the expected range is3260reach3320(Within the day)To learn more about the market, please search for Li Youya on Baidu or360Find Li Youya's Cocoa account in:3175327579Microfacies numberzkk554。
Today's operation suggestion:
　　1: Asphalt1910Go long and lose1880, Objective1940reach1950
　　2: Asphalt rebound1980Short selling nearby, loss2010, Objective1930reach1940
　　3: Silver3320Short selling3350, Objective3260
　　4: Silver3260Go long and lose3230, Objective3300To learn more about the market, please search for Li Youya on Baidu or360Find Li Youya's Cocoa account in:3175327579Microfacies numberzkk554。