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fengxinning · Published on 2017-2-9 13:37:46

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euro/dollar

　　欧元基本复制早前一天走势，欧洲盘加速下行，最低下探1.0640，纽约盘强势反弹，甚至刷新日高1.0713。不同的是，欧元下行力度减弱，而上涨幅度增加。市场缺乏消息推动，美元等待特朗普的税改及基建方案，并受累于特朗普弱势美元倾向，而欧元也头顶法国政治大选风险，使得汇价陷入激烈的多空争夺。今天消息面依旧清淡，预计多空纠结行情仍将继续。

fengxinning · Published on 2017-2-10 13:51:21

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euro/dollar

　　欧元重新上探1.0700上方阻力未果，震荡走低，但在1.0650附近水平仍隐现支持，目前窄幅整理于该档。昨日白宫确认特朗普有关将在未来两三周内公布税收方面的重大改革事宜的讲话，称里根时代以来最大规模的全面税收改革将要出台。此外，当天多位美联储官员发表强硬讲话，布拉德表示美元走强的影响可能被夸大，埃文斯则再次发声支持今年加息三次。欧元区方面，除了法国大选引发的不确定性外，希腊债务问题可能导致其退欧，引发市场担忧。

fengxinning · Published on 2017-2-10 14:14:49

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pound/dollar

　　英镑欧洲盘快速拉升上探1.2580，但美国盘因美元受特朗普很快将推出税改方案的预期走强而回落，最终收录带上影阴线，但企稳早前快速拉升后的整理水平1.2475上方。英国首相梅的退欧方案已经获得下议院通过，仍需等待上议院批准，短线来看，英镑表现相对强势，尽管上行动能有限，但也相对抗跌。今日关注英国12月贸易帐和制造业/工业生产。

fengxinning · Published on 2017-2-13 13:41:37

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Euro/美元在过去5个交易日中的4个交易日下跌，上周一收报1.0638，全周下跌1.34%。上周的下跌也是今年以来，欧元走强过程中的第一次，真正意义上的回调，也是对此前积累涨幅的部分回吐。另一方面，美国川普总统宣布将在未来两三周发布重大税改计划，市场对此寄予厚望，美元得到提振，令欧元继续承压下挫。

fengxinning · Published on 2017-2-14 14:01:21

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　欧元兑美元在周一延续了下降趋势，中期内的下降通道依然保持完好。昨天在欧市开盘之后汇价快速向上试探了前期盘整小平台，并且在1.065附近明显受阻，随后全天欧元空头主导了市场使汇价下探到1.060之下，并且在1.059形成整理平台。

　　今天亚洲时段欧元并没有显示出明显的反弹能量，后市维持欧元会继续延续下降趋势的看法，同时关注北京时间14number15:00将公布的德国CPIandGDP增长率。

fengxinning · Published on 2017-2-15 13:24:03

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　澳元/美元可能是下一张倒下的多米诺骨牌

　　到现在为止，澳元/美元的表现一直非常有力。耶伦的评论致其当天下跌，结果攻克0.7690-0.7745阻力区域下轨的努力再度失败。但截至目前并未到达0.7600/10关键支撑区域。只要守于其上，趋势就可能继续看涨。但如果失守，去年末以来一直累积的多头可能了结。从去年末开始上涨的澳元/美元可能先行回落到0.7500/20区域附近的支撑位，而下一步有很大的可能是走弱。

fengxinning · Published on 2017-2-24 13:58:32

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Euro/dollar

　　4On the hourly chart, in euros/美元跌破上行趋势线后震荡下行，前景已经转为看跌，汇价昨日攀升，料将继续上测下行趋势线，若汇价走升至1.0592附近，则可做空，下看目标位1.0519。

　　5On the minute chart, in euros/美元昨日反弹触及1.0592，短期料再次上测该位，但汇价前景看跌，触及此位后，建议做空。

fengxinning · Published on 2017-2-27 13:47:09

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　欧元兑美元：创富金融持仓比列显示，多头持仓43%，空头持仓57%。创富多空指标值-14，偏多。（创富多空指标为反向指标，当指标大于0时，散户都在做多，我们可能要考虑做空了。相反，当指标少于0，表示散户都在做空时，这时我们可能要考虑做多）

　　欧元兑美元：操作策略，空头衰落，多头蓄势上攻，建议等待回落支撑位附近布局多单，多单价位参考1.0530Nearby, stop loss1.0490Profit1.0600-1.0620。

fengxinning · Published on 2017-2-28 13:53:54

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　英镑/dollar

　　英镑在开盘后大幅下跌，但在近期整理区间底部1.0400There is clear support on the front line, with a brief downward penetration during trading but quickly recovering lost ground. The New York market stretched upwards but failed to hold on to its gains, with the daily chart including a small bullish line. The spokesperson for the UK Prime Minister stated that May opposes Scotland holding a second referendum, and yesterday's rebound in the pound may be a correction to earlier overreactions. The current trend of the pound is still maintaining a range, and the overnight rebound has delayed the breakthrough time. However, the rebound strength is limited, and there is no further news on the UK's exit from Europe process in the near future, which may need to be driven by the US dollar factor.

fengxinning · Published on 2017-3-1 13:18:06

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　澳元/dollar

　　4On the hourly chart, AUD/The US dollar fell to a two-week low in early trading today due to the strengthening of the US index0.7635However, in AustraliaGDPBoosted by data, the Australian dollar stopped its decline, while the Australian dollar/The US dollar touched twice before0.7732At a high level, the exchange rate is currently in a downward trend, but due to strong buying in the Australian dollar, it is estimated that there will not be a significant decline, and the long-term prospects are unclear.

　　