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CPI两条黄金行情路径,今天利空路径完全兑现

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coreCPI month-on-month0.3%,刚好落在市场普遍认可的承压区间。
goldfall drastically 4100 The US dollar barrier.
CPI 数据落地后,10The probability of monthly interest rate hikes varies from19%快速升至47%,年底前加息概率达到96%!市场甚至开始定价单次50个基点的加息可能!!!
但这还不是本周的终点。今晚八点半,还将有三组数据集中发布:
PPI、零售销售、初请失业金。
CPI已经超预期,若今晚PPI再次超出预期,10月加息的市场预期可能进一步抬升,黄金也将继续面临估值压力。
当前市场普遍关注的黄金关键点位:
上方市场共识压力位:4127 USD4150 USD;
Below 4100 美元关口已被跌破,下一个市场重点关注的支撑关口在 4000 USD.
最终方向将由今晚数据进一步确认,超预期则压制延续,低于预期则可能出现修复,但当前整体的压制逻辑暂未发生根本改变。
香港汉声集团黄金投资温馨提示:黄金市场行情波动较大,投资存在风险。请在自身风险承受能力范围内,谨慎决策。There is no absolute bottom price for gold, so buying requires rationality and investment carries risks.

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