Gold Rush Up 4200Recovering all the losses of this week!

goldSuddenly violently lifting onto the platform 4200 The US dollar has surged nearly in a single day 70 The US dollar, this surge, don't blindly follow the trend and be bullish! The vast majority of people only see a surge in prices, but completely ignore the biggest hidden risk of gold at present, which is also the most common market misconception in recent times.

According to Han Sheng's analysis of gold, this upward trend is not a reversal of the trend, but a combination of dual short-term emotions. The Federal Reserve's Waller has released a signal of flexible interest rate hikes,10The probability of suspending interest rate hikes in the month exceeds8The weakening of the US dollar directly supports the gold price. In addition, the hurricane shutdown and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have led to a concentrated outbreak of risk aversion in the market, giving rise to this rapid upward trend.

Everyone must see the contradiction clearly:

crude oilContinued surge will continue to push up inflation expectations and further strengthen them12Expectations of monthly interest rate hikes. On one hand, risk aversion is driving up gold prices, while on the other hand, expectations of interest rate hikes are suppressing gold prices. The long short game has reached its extreme.

The key point of this long short tug of war, if it were you, would you choose to play short-term rebound or wait CPI Do we start with data landing again?

Currently, the London gold market is firmly established4200Gateway, domestic goldT+DThe store gold prices have synchronously increased, and the market seems to be booming. But remember, a short-term emotional boost does not necessarily mean a medium to long-term strength.

The true winner or loser of gold's subsequent rise or fall will not be today's surge, but next Tuesday'sCPI data Once the data exceeds expectations,12The expectation of monthly interest rate hikes is heating up, and this rebound is likely to quickly fall back.

The trend of the US stock market tonight and the changes in geopolitical risks over the weekend are key variables.

Hong Kong Hansheng Group kindly reminds that the gold market fluctuates greatly and there are risks in investment. Please make cautious decisions within your own risk tolerance range.There is no absolute bottom price for gold, so buying requires rationality and investment carries risks.