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CPI 前夜黄金加速跳水:跌破 4200 美元创三个月新低

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1、行情价格:伦敦金现加速下跌,截至 10:50 newspaper4187.06 dollar / 盎司,日内跌 0.81%The lowest touch in the plate 4180 USD, creating 3 月下旬以来新低;国内gold同步大跌,黄金 T+D 913.17 element / 克(-3.53%)、沪金主连915.4 element / 克(-3.55%),周大福等品牌金饰零售价大幅下调至 1276 element / Gram.


2、核心驱动:利空主导,上周五非农大超预期后,市场押注美联储 12 The probability of monthly interest rate hikes has increased 76%,美元站稳 100、10 年期美债收益率破 4.5%,叠加今日晚间美国 5 month CPI 数据预期偏热,资金加速流出黄金;美军空袭伊朗引发的地缘避险情绪完全失效,无法扭转宏观利空趋势。

3、后市重点:技术面空头趋势明确,短期支撑 4150-4170 美元,阻力 4260-4280 美元;今晚 20:30 U.S.A 5 month CPI 数据为绝对核心,若通胀再超预期,金价或进一步下探 4100 美元关口,全球央行持续购金仅能提供长期底部支撑。

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