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Banda Asia: Supported by multiple favorable factors The US dollar index closed slightly higher

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欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德周三在法兰克福举行的“欧央行观察人士会议”上表示,如果当前能源成本的飙升引发更广泛的通胀风险,欧央行将采取果断且迅速的行动。尽管目前欧央行仍在评估伊朗战事带来的冲击,但拉加德强调,政策制定者不会重蹈覆辙。 虽然当前局势与2022年俄乌冲突引发的双位数通胀有所不同,但拉加德认为,“警惕”仍是当下的关键词。 “在获得关于冲击规模、持续性及其传导机制的充分信息之前,我们不会贸然行动,”拉加德指出,“但我们绝不会因为犹豫不决而陷入‘行动瘫痪’。我们对中期通胀回归2%目标的承诺是无条件的。”拉加德最后总结道:“高通胀的记忆尚未远去,这会加速成本传导和补偿性诉求的产生。因此,我们已做好准备,在必要时于任何一次会议上调整政策。”

另外,英国国家统计局25日发布官方数据显示,英国2Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Year-on-year increase3.0%, and1月持平,暂时维持稳定。不过,受中东地区冲突影响,国际能源价格大幅攀升,英国通胀后续面临明显上行压力。数据显示,2月英国汽油价格回落,一定程度上抵消了服装价格上涨带来的通胀压力,使得当月通胀率保持平稳。英国国家统计局指出,这一物价缓和态势或将难以持续,当前国际油价较一个月前上涨约50%,能源成本飙升将给英国物价带来显著冲击。

The data that needs to be monitored today is Germany4monthGfk消费者信心指数、欧元区2月季调后货币供应M3年率和美国截至3month21Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week.

USD Index

The US dollar index fluctuated upwards yesterday, with a slight daily increase and spot exchange rates trading at99.60Nearby. except99.00关口附近所形成的技术面买盘对汇价构成了一定的支撑外,投资者对美联储的加息预期升温和时段内美国表现良好的经济数据也对汇价构成了一定的支撑。此外,市场的避险情绪挥之不去也对避险美元构成了一定的支撑。今日关注100.00Nearby pressure situation, supported below99.00Near.

euro/dollar

The euro fluctuated and fell yesterday, with a slight daily decline. The current exchange rate was traded at1.1560附近。除获利回吐对汇价构成了一定的打压外,美元指数在良好经济数据和美联储加息预期升温的支撑下走高也是施压欧元走软的重要因素。不过,对欧洲央行的加息预期限制了汇价的下跌空间。今日关注1.1650Nearby pressure situation, supported below1.1450Near.

pound/dollar

The pound fluctuated and fell yesterday, with a slight daily decline. The current exchange rate was traded at1.3360附近。美元指数在市场避险买需和良好经济数据以及美联储的加息预期升温支撑下走高是施压英镑走软的主要原因。不过,时段内英国整体表现良好的经济数据和英国央行的加息预期限制了汇价的下跌空间。今日关注1.3450Nearby pressure situation, supported below1.3250Near.

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