汉声金业：PCE数据强化降息预期，黄金价格冲高回落

上周五晚美国9月份通胀率低于预期，核心个人消费支出价格指数环比上涨，现货gold短线冲高并逼近4260美元关口，最高至4259.01dollar/盎司，随后转头大幅下跌并跌破4200美元关口，金价最低至4192.02dollar/Ounces, final settlement4194.36dollar/Ounces, closing down0.34%

International spot gold opens today (Monday)4196.40dollar/盎司，早盘金价最高4211.52dollar/Ounces, minimum to4195.29dollar/ounce! Morning Shanghai Gold Exchange Shanghai Gold Quotation950.56element/Ke, and the Han Sheng Gold Investment Platform of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange is currently in real-time（11:00）显示目前在4205dollar/Running around ounces.

U.S.A12月一年期通胀率预期初值4.1%, expected4.5%, Previous value4.50%。 U.S.A9Monthly personal expenditure rate0.3%, expected0.3%The previous value is from0.6%Revised to0.5%。 U.S.A12Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index53.3, expected52, Previous value51。

美联储青睐的通胀指标在9月份保持在3%以下，并且显示物价月度涨幅温和，这可能不会阻碍美联储在下周会议上考虑降息。据评论称，美国政府停摆延迟了这些数据的发布，使美联储只能根据一套过时的官方经济指标来权衡下一步行动。在下周的会议上，美联储官员将讨论如何在通胀高企与劳动力市场降温之间取得平衡，这一充满挑战的动态对美联储的两大目标均构成威胁。

美国一年期通胀预期从11Of4.5%lower12Of4.1%, for2025year1月以来最低水平，实现连续四个月下降，但短期通胀预期仍高于1Of3.3%。长期通胀预期从11Of3.4%lower12Of3.2%, and2025year1月读数持平。

In addition, the United States12月初消费者信心五个月来首次回升。密歇根大学指数的上升反映出，随着通胀预期改善，人们对个人财务前景更加乐观。

美国经济委员会主任哈塞特表示，美联储是时候审慎地降息。未与特朗普讨论美联储主席人选问题。美国财政部长贝森特表示，迄今为止假日购物季表现“非常强劲”，并预测美国经济将在坚实基础上结束今年。美国到今年年底将实现3%ofGDPGrowth.

Short term intraday trading advice

估计金价在4185-4218Interval oscillation operation, such as breaking through the upward target of the interval4223, or4230Nearby; Looking at the downward target4180, or4175Near.

Attached is the gold trend chart:

Article source: Hansheng Gold Investment Platform official website Hansheng Gold IndustryAPPReproduced from a clear source.

Kind reminder: The gold market fluctuates greatly, and there are risks involved in investment. Please make cautious decisions within your own risk tolerance range.