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野村:我们对周五美国 12 月就业报告的预期

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概要
野村预测12月份就业岗位将稳步增长18万个,失业率将趋于稳定,工资增长将略有放缓。


main points
工作收获:
预计工资将增加 18 万人,这得益于零售业和建筑业的强劲增长。
调查数据显示劳动力市场持续改善。
Unemployment rate:
随着家庭调查不一致问题得到解决,预计将稳定在 4.2%(四舍五入)。
工资增长:
预计平均每小时工资环比增长 0.3%, year-on-year growth 4.0%。


conclusion
野村预计12月份劳动力市场将表现出弹性,就业将稳定增长,工资压力将有所缓和,与整体经济稳定保持一致。

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