英央行终降息，非农决定今日英镑反弹高度

todayUltima Markets Bringing you 2024year 8month 2An in-depth analysis of the exchange rate between Japanese pounds and US dollars.

Fundamental points

• 非农决定降息幅度：周四美联储维持利率不变，但是鲍威尔鸽派的措辞表明9月降息大门打开。今日非农就业数据将明确美国经济健康与否，若就业市场仍然疲软，则美联储9Monthly interest rate reduction50BP的概率将飙升。
  
  

• 英国央行降息：在隔夜美联储会议后，英国央行周四宣布了四年多来的首次降息，将基准利率降至5%。先于美联储降息的决定，让英镑短期将迎来贬值趋势。但随着美联储降息临近，英镑后续或将反转升值。
  
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

(GBP/USD daily chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• 随机震荡指标：指标在7月中旬发出空头信号，随后快速下跌。昨日快线已经接近超卖区域，警惕指标即将在超卖区域发出多头信号，今日存在反转的概率。
  
  

• 周五行情：通常一整个周的单边趋势在周五存在反弹的概率。而昨日快速下跌的英镑触及上行趋势线附近，也暗示今日汇价或将受阻反弹。即便跌破上行趋势线也需要警惕是否存在假突破的概率。
  
  

1Hour chart analysis

(GBP USD)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• 随机震荡指标：指标反复进入超卖区域，暗示当前空头力量强劲。即便如此汇价与指标暂时也没有出现底背离的形态，因此汇价仍有继续下探的概率。
  
  

• 反转价位：图表上的黑色趋势线是日线周期图的上升趋势线，观察1小时周期的汇价在该支撑价位的走势，是否存在反转的形态。值得注意的是，上方1.27485是关键的多空转换价位，即便上破该价位上方也存在两个关键的公允价值缺口。
  
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

(GBP USD)30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTrading CentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day1.2790，
  
  

• 1.2790Upward bullish, first goal1.2825Second objective1.2865
  
  

• 1.2790Under bearish, first target1.2690Second objective1.2655
  
  

免责声明 

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.Ultima MarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.Ultima MarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.