9月降息大门打开，黄金再度乘风起

todayUltima Markets Bringing you 2024year 8month 1daygoldIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 9月降息大门打开：周四美联储连续第八次将基准利率维持在5.25%-5.50%区间不变，符合市场预期。在其新的政策声明中，美联储官员们承认了他们最近在抗击通胀方面取得的进展。美联储主席鲍威尔在FOMC会议后召开新闻发布会表示，第二季度通胀数据增加了美联储的信心，不再需要100%关注通胀，若数据符合要求的情况下最快9Monthly interest rate reduction.
  
  

• 就业数据仍需要关注：从美联储最新利率决议来看，就业市场的数据成为9月降息幅度的关键。美国7monthADPIncrease in employment12.2Ten thousand people, lower than expected15Ten thousand people, for2024year1月以来最小增幅。本周五非农数据若明确了就业市场疲软，则美元或将下跌，届时非美货币及贵金属将迎来大幅上涨。
  
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

(Gold daily chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• 随机震荡指标：指标在50中位线下方发出多头信号，暗示短期多头力量占据上风，市价存在继续上涨的概率。但由于指标并未完全跌入超卖信号，警惕此次上涨仅仅是反弹，仍然有继续下跌的风险。
  
  

• 调整或结束：7月中旬的文章中曾指出黄金价格存在冲高回落调整的概率，而昨日的上涨把下跌调整的结构打破，突破了短期的多空转换区域（红色）。短期以多头趋势为主，上方关注前高2483.33One area.
  
  

1Hour chart analysis

（黄金1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• 随机震荡指标：指标反复进入超买区域发出空头信号，暗示多头力量强劲。值得注意的是市价即将进入关键阻力位，警惕金价配合指标发出顶背离的调整信号。
  
  

• 关键阻力位：黄金在上行通道线反复盘整后美盘时段强势上涨突破了，明确了当前黄金多头强劲。目前受阻于斐波那契1.618倍的扩展阻力位，同时该价位也是前期黄金筑顶下跌的颈线附近，若成功上破则看向黄金前高2483.72。
  
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

（黄金30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTrading CentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day2430，
  
  

• 2430Upward bullish, first goal2457Second objective2473
  
  

• 2430Under bearish, first target2412Second objective2395
  
  

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The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.Ultima MarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.Ultima MarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.