Ultima Markets：【行情分析】通胀下行降息预期加大，美元指...

todayUltima Markets Bringing you 2024year 7month 12Japanese dollar indexIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 美国通胀下行：周四，由于美国CPI全线下降增强了美联储将很快开始降息的希望，美元指数盘中跳水，一度逼近104关口，最终收跌0.523%Report104.46。
• 降息预期提升：CPI报告发布后，投资者调高了对美联储今年将降息两次的押注，第三次降息的几率也有所攀升，这意味着美联储可能在今年最后三次会议上降息，即9Month11Month and12Month.
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（美元指数日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• 随机摆动指标：指标快线与慢线纠缠，昨日美盘时段的反弹暗示当前下方有强支撑价位，阻止美元指数进一步下跌。
• 支撑阻力：美元指数在跌破短期均线组红色33日均线和黑色65均线后，出现回踩在突破的结构，昨日快速下跌接近前期低点。通常理论上快速下跌接近支撑线，市价有反弹的概率。
  

1Hour chart analysis

（美元指数1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• 随机震荡指标：动能柱放缓走平，有再度上穿红色均线的概率。但是值得注意的是，在没有明确发出多头信号前，暂时视为金价为调整结构。
• 支撑阻力：美元指数在104左右出现看跌吞没形态，暗示金价迎来下行调整。若该指数收线于附近支撑为之下，估计它将在中期延续跌势。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

（美元指数30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day104.80，
• 104.80Upward bullish, first goal105.00Second objective105.20
• 104.80Under bearish, first target104.25Second objective104.08
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.