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周一,投资者正消化法国选举结果,欧洲股市普遍反应正面,STOXX 50Exponential increase 0.73%,STOXX 600Index rise0.32%,CAC 40 指数上扬1.09%。 另外,欧元/美元汇率反弹至1.074上方,触及1.077High point.
极右翼的国民联盟赢得法国首轮国会选举,但其支持率低于一些民意调查的预测,而且未获得多数席次。选举结果让担心扩张性财政议程的投资人松了一口气。 不过,最终结果还存不确定性。 虽然国民联盟有机会获得多数势力,但这不是最可能发生的情景。 中间派和左翼政党正在商讨防止极右翼在下周日的第二轮选举中取得进展。
银行股表现最佳,尤其是法国银行股。 法国巴黎银行大涨 3.6%,法国兴业银行强弹3.1%。
经济消息方面,德国6月通胀率放缓超乎预期,消费者物价指数(CPI)fall to2.2%。 周二公布的欧元区整体通胀率也预计出现类似减幅至2.5%。 这些数据强化了欧洲央行(ECB)在未来几个月考虑进一步放宽货币政策的理由。
(STOXX 50指数半年线图)
(欧元兑美元周线图)
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