Ultima Markets：【行情分析】油价突破阻力，政治因素值得关注

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 7month 2Ofcrude oilIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 原油产量：欧佩克原油产量连续第三个月保持稳定，一些主要成员国的原油产量继续超过限额。6月欧佩克成员国日产量为2698万桶，较上月减少8万桶。欧佩克+表示，任何向市场增加石油产量的计划都将取决于市场情况，这有助于支撑油价。
• 地缘政治：由于交易员考虑到欧洲和中东日益加剧的地缘政治风险，以及一场向加勒比海地区袭来的飓风，油价企稳。WTICrude oil in6月份上涨了约6%后，交易价格突破每桶81美元。此外，美国大选在未来几个月可能成为重点关注领域。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（原油的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• l 随即摆动指标：指标在超买区域再度发出多头信号，暗示当前汇价多头情绪占据上风，但由于油价存在可能背离的迹象，做多仍需要警惕。
• l 上方阻力线：油价昨日快速触及上行趋势线，目前亚盘时段波动率放缓。若今日突破昨日高点并未出现假突破迹象，则油价短期或进一步上冲。
  

1Hour chart analysis

（原油的1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标进入超买区域发出空头信号，暗示当前空头力量短期占据上方，等待脱离超买区域后可以关注是否有值得关注的多头信号。
• Supporting price range：油价回踩红色33周期和黑色65周期均线后，昨日突破83整数关口。整体上涨趋势非常健康，关注是否存在回踩83美元价位。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

（原油的30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day82.70，
• 82.70Upward bullish, first goal84.00Second objective84.60
• 82.70Under bearish, first target82.20Second objective81.80
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.Ultima MarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.