Ultima Markets：【市场热点】瑞士央行再降息，法郎见喘息空...

瑞士央行（SNB）6月调降利率0.25Percentage points to1.25%，符合市场预期与该银行政策路径。过往通胀压力源自国内服务价格的上涨。 当前核心通胀压力已减弱，而瑞士法郎出现强劲升值，央行透过利率再调整，以维持适合经济情势的货币政策。

瑞士央行提出预测，假定政策利率保持在1.25% 水平，今年平均通货膨胀率为1.3%。 然后明年会略微下降至1.1%And in the2026年进一步减至1.0%。 这些预估与3月会议无异。

经济成长方面，瑞士央行表示乐观但保持谨慎，预计2024Annual Gross Domestic Product(GDP)小幅增长约1%，明年可望攀至1.5%。SNB还预期失业率会有微升情形，但见产能利用率将保持一般平稳水准。

利率会议前，法朗曾大幅升值，兑美元汇率接近3个月高点，兑欧元汇率接近4Month high. 欧洲议会选举中极右翼团体崛起，使法国政治动荡，投资人因而转至传统避险资产瑞士法郎。

减息决议后，法朗兑美元贬值约0.5%, towards0.89 水平靠拢。

（历史利率水平，瑞士国家银行）

(USD/CHFMonthly chart)

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