Ultima Markets：【行情分析】暴跌油价叠加宽松政策，加元抛...

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 6month 5USD/CADIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 美国经济数据疲软Yesterday in the United States4月职位空缺降至2021年以来最低水平，数据公布后，美联储利率掉期显示2024年降息步伐加快，10The yield of one-year treasury bond bonds fell to5month16The lowest level in recent days.
• 今日美国数据：今日美国将公布5monthADPEmployment and the United States5monthISMNon manufacturingPMI，若仍低于预期则美联储降息预期进一步提高，美元或将加快贬值趋势。
• l Bank of Canada：加拿大央行今日将公布至6month5日利率决定，市场预期将降息25基点。若降息靴子落地，叠加近期crude oil价格暴跌，加元抛售压力大增。
  

技分析

Daily chart analysis

Daily chart of US dollar to Canadian dollar, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index: Indicator in50中位线附近徘徊震荡，暗示当前多空不明朗。而近10个交易日的调整，也表明当前汇价随时可以出现新的趋势方向。
• 收敛区间：美元兑加元自4month17日起，每次上涨反弹的高点在不断降低，逐渐形成下行趋势线。下方也始终受短期趋势线的支撑。汇价需要突破上方1.37380或者下方1.35900一带才可以确认新的趋势方向来临。
  

4Hour chart analysis

USD to CAD4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index:指标周一在超卖区域发出多头信号，与汇价一同形成了背离趋势。因此后续上涨趋势较为明确，汇价短期目标看向下行通道上沿一带。
• Moving average support：均线组横向震荡纠缠，汇价昨日在强势上破后关注是否存在回踩形态。若亚盘时段汇价未跌破均线支撑则有望看向前高附近。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

USD to CAD30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day1.3655，
• 1.3655Upward bullish, first goal1.3695Second objective1.3710
• 1.3655Under bearish, first target1.3640Second objective1.3620
  

Disclaimers   

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.Ultima MarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.