Ultima Markets：【市场热点】美国制造业下滑，美元大幅暴跌

在美国数据显示经济逐步放缓的迹象后，美元兑其他主要货币暴跌至两个月低点。其数据刺激了市场对美联储仍将在今年开始降息的预期，从而提高了持有美元的机会成本。

根据美国供应管理协会（ISM）的数据，5月份制造业采购经理人指数从49.2lower48.7，历史读数显示出明显的下行趋势。近期制造业萎缩的主要原因是需求疲软，供应商因政策不确定性而不愿增加库存。

(美元指数，4Hour chart,TradingView)

数据发布后，投资者对 9 月份降息的押注大幅增加。根据 CMEFedWatch Tool Data,9 月份降息的概率提升至61.6%。与此同时，投资者将等待本周三公布的非制造业采购经理人指数，以获得更多有关美国经济的信号。

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