Ultima Markets：【行情分析】疯狂的可可卷土重来，关键看...

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 5month 29日可可In depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 可可供应或短缺：科特迪瓦和加纳的可可豆减产导致全球市场供应缺口扩大，这直接推高了可可豆的价格。国际可可组织预计2023/24收获季全球可可豆产量将比上一季减少10.9%。
• 多重因素打压可可供应：恶劣的天气、肥料短缺、两种植物病害的爆发，加上长期投资不足，限制了非洲主要生产国的供应。如果天气没有好转，市场预期可可futures价格今年或明年可能会飙升至2万美元以上。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（可可日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标在中位线下方再度发出多头信号，暗示当前多头短期占据上风。快线目前已经突破50中位线，值得关注多头交易机会。
• 均线压制：可可上方存在明确的均线压制区域。红色33Daily moving average and65黑色均线。昨日收盘价站在均线上方，明确的多头趋势需要关注9256.2这一关键支撑阻力转换区域。
  

1Hour chart analysis

（可可1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index:指标进入超买区域暗示可可价短期上涨力度强劲，等待指标脱离超买区域再度发出多头信号后关注做多交易机会。
• 回撤区域：由于可可已经突破了均线的压制，等待市价回踩均线后值得关注做多交易机会。均线组附近也是斐波那契回撤位附近。
  

Disclaimers  

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.