Bo Hu Lun Jin:5.18Analysis of the opening trend of gold on Monday and operational suggestions for resolving the situation

　　周总结：

　　在通胀和零售销售数据回落，美联储降息预期升温的影响下，美元指数本周整体录得下跌，最低险守104整数关口。本周行情高点出现在周二超预期的PPI数据公布后，盘中一度冲上105.47。

　　得益于美元走低和美债收益率回落，以及鲍威尔继续紧关加息大门，现货gold本周大幅走高，收于2414dollar/盎司，为史上最高收盘价。

　　现货白银则是2013year2月以来首次站上30美元关口，收于31.44dollar/盎司。今年以来，白银已飙升32%，超过黄金涨幅，成为今年表现最好的主要大宗商品之一。白银价格上涨受到多方面因素推动，投资者兴趣高涨，宏观经济背景日益乐观，市场预计将连续四年出现短缺。

　　国际油价本周整体呈现区间震荡走势，周初因需求乐观情绪以及对供应受扰的担忧，油价有所走高，但IEA对需求感到悲观导致油价一度跌至2月以来新低，随后又因降息预期重燃而出现V字反转。

　　美股方面，Meme股本周再度出现散户狙击华尔街空头的刺激行情，游戏驿站和AMC轻松翻倍后回落。道指、标普500指数和纳指本周盘中均再创新高，其中，道琼斯工业平均指数（DJA）周五史上首次收于4万大关上方。数字货币方面，CPI回落和美联储降息预期刺激比特币价格涨至三周高位，截至发稿在67000dollar/枚附近徘徊。

　　本周虽破位2400超预期上涨，而市场出现亏损大有人在的，我们必须淡定。别人恐惧的时候才是我们耐心得到回报的时候，下周开盘黄金2420-30区间之内做空，下方得失给到2397-95位置，如果开盘价格形成破位走弱，也是上涨的阶段回撤，金价需要完全收复2390位置，高位反复就可以去选择博弈趋势空头，目前黄金依旧是强势格局，做空长线只是和谐位置的触发，做到执行思路的时候轻仓就可以。综合来看，下周一黄金短线操作思路上博。虎建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注2422-2432Frontline resistance, short-term focus below2395-2397Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm. To control position and stop loss issues, strictly set stop losses, and do not operate against orders. The recent market turbulence has been significant, with opportunities and risks coexisting. Control risks and increase returns.

　　操作策略参考：

　　 Gold rebound2420-2322Short selling in batches nearby Stop loss8USD, target2405-2395Nearby,

Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!

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