Ultima Markets：【行情分析】美联储降息概率大增，欧元突破...

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 5month 16Euro to USD exchange rate on a daily basisIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 通胀放缓: USA4Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIAnnual rate recorded3.4%，低于前月的3.5%. In addition, the United States4月零售销售环比持平，远低于市场预期的0.4%。
• 9月降息概率提升：物价水平的放缓暗示美联储仍存宽松政策刺激经济的概率。投资者提高了对美联储9Month and12月降息的押注。利率futures市场定价美联储今年将降息52个基点，较周二押注增加约10个基点，并认为首降将在9Month.
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

Daily chart of EUR/USD, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标脱离超买区域后再度发出多头信号，暗示短期趋势依旧强劲。投资者需要切换小周期，关注是否存在做多机会。
• 突破阻力：汇价在突破均线组和绿色下行趋势线后，昨日快速上涨触及前期多空转换区域。这一定程度上暗示当前多头趋势明确，但值得注意的是通常这样的形态日内将迎来下跌调整。
  

4Hour chart analysis

(EUR/USD)4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：快线和慢线进入超买区域后斜率放缓同时纠缠震荡，暗示短期入场做多风险较大。
• 上行通道：尽管指标随时可能发出空头信号，但目前汇价强势突破上行通道线，短期均线也都上穿了长期均线。多头趋势较为明确，日内趋势依旧以多头为主，看多不宜做多。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

(EUR/USD)30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day1.0860，
• 1.0860Upward bullish, first goal1.0910Second objective1.0930
• 1.0860Under bearish, first target1.0840Second objective1.0820
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.