Ultima Markets：【行情分析】瑞郎波动率收窄，双重阻力阻止...

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 5month 14日的美元兑瑞郎In depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 瑞士央行的果断：3月份瑞士央行为了阻止瑞郎升值，出乎市场预期地将基准利率从1.75%Down to1.5%，并称准备在foreign exchange市场进行干预。这是G10货币央行自疫情消退以来的首次降息。
• 利差推动瑞郎升值：瑞士央行3月份降息主要目的是担忧美联储和欧洲央行今年晚些时候的宽松政策，会推动瑞郎的升值，并希望通过提前行动来减轻瑞郎的升值压力。
• 地缘政治推动瑞郎：尽管瑞士央行采取鸽派立场，但随着中东紧张局势升级，作为市场仓位和情绪晴雨表的风险逆转指标，瑞郎依旧受避险资金追捧，未来走势将取决于紧张局势持续多久。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（美元兑瑞郎的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index: Indicator in50中位线下方纠缠震荡，暗示当前汇价正处于多空不明朗阶段。在明确的震荡阶段需要关注汇价上方的阻力，是否将出现发转的迹象。
• Oscillation interval：汇价目前受阻于红色33日均线，同时也是前期关键的M顶形态的颈线位置。下方则是另类趋势线，汇价在上方的双重阻力下更大概率继续下探另类趋势线。
  

4Hour chart analysis

（美元兑瑞郎的4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标未进入超卖区域即发出多头信号，暗示短期多头较为强劲，但暂时不确定上涨的强度。需警惕日内指标进入超买区域后是否将放缓，甚至发出空头信号。
• 潜在压制价位：美元兑瑞郎目前处于均线的范围内，红色33Periodic moving averages and65周期均线共同组成了当前汇价的震荡区间。同时61.8%的斐波那契扩展位也为汇价继续上破添加了阻力。只有汇价明确站上均线和扩展线上方，才可关注美元兑瑞郎的上涨趋势。反之，汇价当前上涨依旧视为反弹。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

（美元兑瑞郎的30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day0.9060，
• 0.9060Upward bullish, first goal0.9095Second objective0.9110
• 0.9060Under bearish, first target0.9045Second objective0.9030
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.