Ultima MarketsMarket analysis: The US dollar index is on the verge of collapse, with non-agricultural sectors being the key

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 5month 3Japanese dollar indexIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 非农是关键：周五的非农就业报告预计将显示4月份非农就业人数增长放缓，但在失业率稳定在低位的情况下，增长速度依然强劲。据估计，继3月份新增30.3万名工人之后，上个月雇主又新雇了24.1万名工人，平均时薪可能比上月增长0.3%。
• 美元指数疲软：美联储主席鲍威尔发布会上表示，需要有更多证据表明通胀正在降温，若非农数据继续明确就业市场放缓，尤其是薪资下跌，则美联储今年仍存降息概率，届时美元这似乎将打开下跌空间。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（美元指数日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标快速跌破50中位线，暗示短期空头力量占据上风，亚盘时段美元指数将继续下跌。
• bareKstructure：汇价昨日完成M顶形态，跌破颈线支撑后汇价存在进一步下行的概率。不过下方目前是红色33日均线、上行趋势线以及支撑阻力转换线联合组成的阻力区间，美元指数只有跌破该区间才能明确下跌趋势。
  

4Hour chart analysis

（美元指数4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index:指标快速跌破50中位线，暗示短期空头力量占据上风，亚盘时段美元指数将继续下跌。
• Moving average support：汇价昨日完成M顶形态，跌破颈线支撑后汇价存在进一步下行的概率。不过下方绿色200周期均线，美元指数存在止跌受阻的概率。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

（美元指数30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day105.60，
• 105.60Upward bullish, first goal105.75Second objective105.89
  

• 105.60Under bearish, first target105.20Second objective105.00
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.