Ultima Markets：【行情分析】美元今日或同数据起，欧央行6...

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 4month 25EUR/USDIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 美国第一季度数据：今日美国将公布最新的第一季度GDPandPCE数据。今年的通胀数据持续超出预期，同时ISMofPMI指数也再次突破荣枯线50，这些都暗示了美国仍处于通胀上行的压力下。今夜数据若明确了这一观点，则年内加息概率进一步降低，而美元指数或乘势上行。
• 欧央行明确降息：欧洲央行已基本承诺将在下次政策会议上降息，但决策者们仍在讨论降息后的利率走势。欧洲央行管委内格尔周三表示，欧元区的通胀仍可能比较顽固，因此6月降息后不一定会采取进一步的宽松政策。这个既要也要的措辞让欧元兑美元陷入纠结，因此市场未来焦点于后续经济数据能否支持欧央行继续放宽政策。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

(EUR USD daily chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标未进入超卖区域就发出多头信号，配合汇价趋势来看短期场外空头机构仍在观望，警惕指标在即将接近50中位线附近后再度发出空头信号。
• 上方阻力价位：汇价整体仍处于长期趋势线200日均线（绿色）下方，欧元相对于美元仍处于贬值压力。亚盘即将接近前期汇价跌破的支撑价位1.07240，该价位也是红色33Near the daily moving average.
  

1Hour chart analysis

(EUR/USD)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index:指标发出多头信号后缓慢上行，配合汇价来看，当前趋势大概率为反弹调整结构。但价格若快速突破昨日高点，则需警惕多头趋势或再度来临。
• Moving average support：欧元兑美元昨日突破绿色200周期均线后，回踩均线组继续反弹上行。三条均线组的纠缠暗示当前汇价迎来关键的趋势方向决策。若突破昨日高点则典型的123回踩交易策略出现；若亚盘反弹不过高点，转向下破均线组则新的下跌趋势来临。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

(EUR/USD)30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day1.0715，
• 1.0715Upward bullish, first goal1.0730Second objective1.0745
• 1.0715Under bearish, first target1.0680Second objective1.0665
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.