Ultima Markets：【行情分析】恐怖数据太恐怖，铜价短期刺激...

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 4month 16Daily copperIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 恐怖数据太恐怖: USA3Monthly retail sales increased month on month0.7%，大超预期的0.4%Last year9月以来新高，前值由0.6%大幅上修至0.9%。市场对美联储降息预期再推迟，交易员不再完全预计11月之前降息。
• 铜价短期刺激：上周五（4month13日），美国和英国宣布对俄罗斯铝、铜和镍实施新的交易限制。作为回应，伦敦金属交易所（LME）宣布暂停为4month13日后生产的俄罗斯金属出具仓单。截至3月底，俄罗斯金属已占LME铜库存的62%，不过俄罗斯旧金属可以继续交付，短期影响有限。
  

technical analysis

Weekly chart analysis

（铜的周线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标在超买区域发出上涨信号，暗示当前多头力量占据上方。基于铜价即将受阻去年1月份的高点，本周铜价或将面临调整。
• Moving average indicator：铜价自均线组支撑后一路上行，短期红色33周均线仍处于长期均线组下方，暗示当前价格上涨过快，或将有均线均值回调的行情发生。
  

4Hour chart analysis

(Copper)4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index: Indicator in50中位线附近发出多头信号，随后铜价跌跌撞撞上涨，暗示多空正处于博弈阶段。整体铜价在不断上涨，但随机震荡指标却屡次背离市价并未出现新高，行情有较大回调风险需要警惕。
• Wolf wave structure：铜价在突破4.23后却并未强势上涨，反而在回踩后形成沃尔夫浪结构。当前点5触及点1And points3的连接线，有一定概率出现回调，第一目标看向点4一带水平位。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

(Copper)30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day4.3135，
• 4.3135Upward bullish, first goal4.3910Second objective4.4035
• 4.3135Under bearish, first target4.2950Second objective4.2765
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.