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As of2024year03month21日亚盘时段,受到凌晨公布的美联储利率决议影响下,gold价格再次出现强势走高,并且一度接近历史高位,继续向着2000大关进发。这是因为美联储释放出维持三次降息的预期,尽管此前的通胀数据有所回升,但无法改变利率偏高的事实,所以美联储需要尽快采取行动,六月份将极有可能启动首次降息,这大大利好短期金价延续涨势。
大田环球限价无滑点,Low point difference,利益有保障:202.hk/zhuanti/xpt_v1.html?c=812
According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve3Monthly interest rate maintained at5.25%-5.50%The probability of interval invariance is100%。 reach5The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is93.7%Accumulated interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is6.3%。
到6The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is40.9%Accumulated interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is55.6%Accumulated interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is3.6%。
According toHodesAccording to calculations, an attack on a Russian refinery could lead to a decrease in global oil supply by approximately3510000 barrels/Day, and causing the price of US crude oil to rise per barrel3USD.
沙特阿拉伯和伊拉克原油出口下降,以及中国和美国需求和经济增长强劲的迹象,为油价提供了支撑。
美国商务部报告称,2The construction of single family homes in the United States rebounded significantly in the month. Residential construction may promote economic growth and support oil demand.
Staunovo 补充道:“今年布伦特原油价格可能会在每桶80-90Between US dollars,6月底的预测为每桶86US dollars. "