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As of2024year03month04日亚盘时段,尽管此前公布的CPI数据引起了市场担忧,并直接扑灭了美联储三月份降息的任何可能性,但是随着后续的几份经济数据显示,美联储今年最早将会在六月份启动首次降息,因为美国的GDP数据表现一般,而且上周公布的PCE物价指数符合预期,所以也帮助gold价格短期大涨,现阶段处于2050附近一线的关键顶底转换位置。
Hong Kong's top ten pension company, Datian Global Zero slip point low point difference:202.hk/zhuanti/cpc_v1.html?c=812\
数据显示,美国1Monthly personal consumption expenditure(PEC)Price index rise0.3%, CorePCEPrice index rise0.4%,这对美元构成压力,从而使黄金对持有其他货币的投资者来说更便宜。
1monthPCEYear-on-year increase in price index2.4%, for2021year2月以来的最小同比涨幅,12The increase is2.6%。1monthPCE通胀数据与1月消费者和生产者通胀数据一样,也归因于年初企业提价。经济学家认为,政府使用的从数据中剔除季节性波动的模型可能没有完全将这些提价考虑进去。
剔除波动性较大的食品和能源部分,1Monthly CorePCEPrice index rose month on month0.4%Last year2月以来最大单月涨幅,12月数据被下修至上涨0.1%,前值为上涨0.2%。
2月服务业价格环比上涨0.6%Last year1The largest increase since the beginning of the month,12月涨幅为0.3%。住房和公用事业成本上升0.6%,推动服务业价格上涨。金融服务和保险成本上涨1.3%,可能反映了股票价格上涨。餐馆、酒吧、酒店和汽车旅馆的服务价格上涨,娱乐和医疗保健价格也有所上涨。
1Monthly CorePCEYear-on-year increase in price index2.8%, for2021year3月以来最小涨幅,12月涨幅为2.9%。美联储跟踪PCE物价指数,以评估实现2%通胀目标的进展情况。PCE物价指数环比涨幅在一段时间内保持在0.2%,是通胀回到目标的必要条件
美国劳工部周四发布的另一份报告显示,截至2month24During the current week, the number of new applicants for unemployment benefits increased1.3Ten thousand people, after seasonal adjustment21.510000 people.
As of2month17日当周,续请失业金人数增加4.5万人,达到190.510000 people.2month17日当周在政府2月非农就业数据的调查期内。
官方数据显示,全球最大产油国美国原油库存连续第五周增加,增加420Ten thousand barrels, exceeding expectations270万桶。战略石油储备增加了约 3/40 Ten thousand barrels, this is from the government 12 The pace that has been pursued since mid month.
美国继续增加其石油储备,尽管速度相对较慢且基础较低。按照这个速度,需要7More than a year of replenishment time is needed to restore reserves2021year4月的稳定水平。诚然,这种情况根本不可能发生,因为美国已经成为净出口国,对这些储备的需求比上世纪末要少。
OPEC+The extension of voluntary oil production reduction agreements by oil producing countries has also been put on the agenda.OPECAnd its allies last year11Yue agrees to reduce production in the first quarter under the leadership of Saudi Arabia22010000 barrels/Day. In addition,OPEC+We are considering extending the voluntary oil production reduction period to the second quarter, which may lead to market tightening.