Ultima Markets[Market Hotspot] Uneven Increase and Decrease in US Inflation The Federal Reserve does not...

U.S.A1Monthly personal consumption expenditure price index (PCE) Monthly increase0.3%，符合市场期待，与修正后前值 0.1% 相比略有上升。 Service price increase 0.6%，商品价格下降 0.2%。 年比成长率降至2.4%, creating2021year2月以来新低，低于前月的2.6%，与预期相符。

同时，核心个人消费支出排除食品和能源 (Core PCE），美联储偏好的通胀指标月升0.4%与预测相符，是自去年2月以来最大幅度的涨幅，超越调整后前值0.1%。 另外，食品价格上涨0.5%，能源价格下降1.4%。

值得注意的是1 月核心服务业（扣除住房）通胀月增 0.6%，年增 3.45%。 美联储近期变得密切关注此数据。 年和月环比均大幅高于近期，月增幅达0.6%, creating2022 year3 月以来最高值。 1月份超级核心个人消费支出指数的各成分均加速增长，主要是服务业价格居高不下。

综合所述，核心通胀年率连续第12个月下滑，从2.9%lower2.8%, arrived at2021year3月新低，符合投资人预期。

这些数据是美联储订于 3 month 19 Solstice20 日例会前的最新报告。 美联储主席鲍威尔和其他官员基本上否定本次会议期间降息的可能性。 因此，大多数投资者转而押注6 The possibility of monthly interest rate cuts.

(PCE价格指数月率)

(corePCE价格指数月率)

(corePCE价格指数年率)

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