Ultima MarketsMarket analysis: Can the New Zealand dollar further appreciate? Look at this moving average

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 2month 22JPY/USDIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• 美联储会议纪要：多数官员注意到过快降息的风险，一些官员看到了通胀进展可能停滞的风险。美联储理事鲍曼表示，现在“绝对不是”降息的时机，楼市无碍降息决策；这一定程度上完全削弱了提前降息的希望。
• 下周纽联储登场：在经历了三个月起伏不定的数据发布之后，新西兰联储下周的政策决定充满未知。过去一周的数据仍表明，新西兰联储有理由担心部分通胀压力的持续存在。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（纽元兑美元日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标缓慢进入超买区域，暗示多头趋势并不强劲。警惕指标在超买区域随时发出空头信号。
• Fibonacci retreat：汇价虽然近期有加速突破上行通道的迹象，但是始终被前期下跌趋势的50%斐波那契回撤位所压制。汇价若始终无法突破，则纽元随时将有反转贬值的概率。
  

4Hour chart analysis

(NZD to USD)4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标在超买区域纠缠震荡，发出两次空头信号。配合汇价来看，形成了顶背离结构。若汇价在指标跌至50中位线前没有出现有效下跌，则汇价仍具有继续上行的动力。
• 2400Periodic moving average：紫色2400周期均线是长期趋势的关键风向标，因此汇价在此有较强的下行压力，纽元兑美元长期趋势具体如何开展就看汇价在该均线的表现。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

(NZD to USD)30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day0.6160，
• 0.6160Upward bullish, first goal0.6207Second objective0.6220
• 0.6160Under bearish, first target0.6138Second objective0.6125
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.