Ultima Markets【 Market Analysis 】 The Federal Reserve of Australia appears, and the depreciation of the Australian dollar may become a foregone conclusion

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 2month 6日的澳元兑美元In depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• Strong US economy: USA1monthISM服务业指数上升至53.4，创四个月新高，预期52。新订单和物价指数创将近一年新高。强劲的经济数据几乎消除了3月份降息的可能性，5月份降息的机会也有所减少，市场风险偏好下降。
• 澳联储登场：今日澳洲联储将公布利率决议和货币政策声明。由于去年12月份，政策制定者曾探讨过是否再次加息。在政策利率并未宽松背景下，通胀已经开始逐渐走低，同时经济也正失去活力。因此本周市场焦点于澳联储如何阐述前瞻指引。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（澳元兑美元的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标在中位线下方再度发出做空信号，暗示当前下跌趋势强劲，空头力量短期占据上风。
• 均线压制：汇价自1month18日开启反弹趋势后，始终沿着65Rihe200日均线上下盘整。在上周五受阻于65日均线后快速下跌，最终收破在两根均线下方，同时也跌破了1month18日低点位，暗示自去年年底的下跌趋势或将延续。
• bareKstructure：上周五收盘价在上周四的下影线内——一个典型的孕线结构，昨日的下跌K线进一步确认了下跌趋势。这一定程度上反应了，即便今日以反弹收尾也不能排除澳元继续贬值的预期。
  

1Hour chart analysis

（澳元兑美元的1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标在超卖区域发出多头信号，同时配合汇价确认形成了底背离形态。亚盘时段将以反弹震荡为主。
• 上方阻力区域：汇价昨日跌破下行通道线，短期反弹看向上方通道线下沿，同时这一带也是红色33周期均线一带，若继续上破则看向65Periodic moving average.
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

（澳元兑美元的30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day0.6505，
• 0.6505Upward bullish, first goal0.6520Second objective0.6535
• 0.6505Under bearish, first target0.6465Second objective0.6450
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.