通胀率角度看,日本12Monthly CoreCPIAnnual rate from2.5%Descend to2.3%,通胀率并没有一直保持升势。虽然日本最新的通胀率仍处于2%上方,但如果下降态势延续,日本将很快重回通货紧缩的局面。实际上,日本11The core of the monthCPIThe annual rate has changed from2.9%Descend to2.5%,降幅巨大。核心通胀率已经连续两个月下降,日本央行选择不加息是合理选择。
From a technical perspective,USDJPY处于中长期空头趋势下的反弹阶段,反弹波段完美的运行于上升通道线内部。在市价跌破通道下轨之前,预计涨势将延续。震荡指标KD的读数已经超过80超买线,并且快慢线已经在高位死叉,意味着后市由涨转跌的概率较高。MACD指标的柱线处于零轴上方,但绝对值正在缩小,意味着上涨动力正在减弱。综合来看,多数指标认为USDJPY的涨势将遇阻回落。
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