Wan Jinsheng1.21Next week's gold trend analysis shows that the broad volatility of gold needs to break through!

　　goldThe rise and fall have entered a wide range of fluctuations, and the bullish and bearish trend is not very obvious. At the beginning of last week, there was a weak and sharp decline, directly reaching2000At the critical juncture, the week's end fluctuated slowly and rebounded continuously, putting pressure on the US market on Friday2040The high level has fallen, and the continuity of bullish and bearish positions is not strong. Currently, we can only view it as volatile.

Because gold is currently in the scissors gap between the support line and the pressure line, pay attention to2020—2040Interval operation, and now the price is2030One line, only up and down10The US dollar space is in an awkward position of being neither up nor down, with a focus on monitoring the break in the range before following suit.Radical Surrounding2020Multiple, stop loss2013, look at the goal2040—2045frontline!

For the gold median, from a daily perspective, each rebound suppresses the decline and breaks through the low, mainly focusing on the up and down conversion near the short-term moving average, with no more than three consecutive yin and yang lines. On Friday, the bullish market closed with a cross, and the rebound of the double bullish market was still overshadowed by the big bearish market. The overall operating rhythm is still somewhat bearish.

If there is another drop test next week2000At the checkpoint, there is a high probability of breaking through, so pay attention to it1972Looking more at the front double bottom structure; And if the sun rises directly and breaks2040So we can see a continued rebound and an upward trend, and further look up2063—2088High point.

Looking at the long term of gold, on the monthly chart, the previous three consecutive bullish rises have set a new historical high, and a correction in January is also reasonable. Personally, I believe that there is a high probability that the January monthly chart will end in a bearish or bearish cross. Because the US dollar index is still relatively strong, although there is a demand for a pullback in the daily chart, it is still in further preparation, and it depends on whether it can fall down next week.

The downward trend of the US dollar index is certain from the perspective of the large cycle, weekKSupported by the trend line, the three consecutive positive rebounds are nearing the end, with the monthKShort term moving average under pressure, below100.8The dense support level has been tested multiple times, and this should be the last time it turns positive and rebounds. If it falls further in the later period, it will directly break through.

　　So, overall, although gold is currently bearish and falling, from a long-term perspective,2024There is still a lot of room for gold to rise this year.

　　crude oilAspect;On Friday, the overall trend of rising and falling remained volatile, and in the short term, it belonged to a volatile upward pattern, with three turns in one step. weekKAround the short-term moving average, there is a possibility of a contraction and an upward trend in the indicator, with a low level horizontal trend alternating between yin and yang. It is recommended to wait and see when the market opens on Monday,If the sun rises continuously within the day, then stepping back can help you see more76.0And above it; If the daily continuous yin drops below73.0So, upon arrival72.2There are more frontlines.

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