Ultima MarketsMarket analysis: Convergence range formation, US index waiting for breakthrough direction...

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 1month 12Japanese dollar indexIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• US inflation data: USA12Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPIAnnual rate recorded3.9%Exceeding expectations3.8%, for2021year5月以来新低；月率录得0.3%，符合预期。这样的数据实际上并没有表明通胀快速下跌， 这对于美联储来说，并没有真正支持其在3月降息。因此短期美元指数的空头押注或将喘息一段时间。
• FOMC委员讲话：各委员都在公开场合表达了对于3月份降息的看法。其中克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特表示，3月降息为时尚早，今年将开始讨论调整缩表措施的问题；里士满储联储主席巴尔金则重申不会预先判断三月份美联储将降息，并表示将密切关注PCEInflation data.
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（美元指数日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标并未进入超买区域，同时发出空头信号，暗示当前多头继续上冲力量不足，市价随时可能下跌。
• 收敛区间：美元指数持续在黑色33日均线下方震荡，始终无法突破33日均线的阻力，并且逐渐形成收敛三角形区间，若价格跌破区间，则美元指数或将延续空头趋势。
  

1Hour chart analysis

（美元指数1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标触及超买区域后发出空头信号，当前短期空头占据上风，值得切换更小周期例如15分钟图，来观察是否存在入场做空的信号。
• 旗形区间：美元指数在绿色240周期均线上方持续徘徊调整，形成了上升旗形区间。美元指数在跌破旗形区间后或将确认空头趋势。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

（美元指数30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day102.58，
• 102.58Upward bullish, first goal102.76Second objective102.90
• 102.58Under bearish, first target102.16Second objective101.91
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.