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据德国联邦统计局昨日发布的数据,德国12monthCPIAnnual rate initial value3.7%, previous value is3.2%,最新值高出前值0.5个百分点,这是2023year6月份以来的首次升高,部分媒体惊呼“欧洲高通胀恐卷土重来”!环比数据看,德国11monthCPIMonthly rate is-0.4%,12Latest value of month0.1%,由负转正,同样意味着通胀有抬头迹象。德国是欧洲的经济引擎,同时也是欧洲的经济走向风向标,如果德国通胀率重新走高,欧元区也无法避免新一轮的高通胀。通胀率走高意味着欧央行将推迟降息的时间点,甚至于通胀率过高的话,还会重启加息。昨日,EURUSDappreciation0.22%,就是对德国CPI数据的反应。
From a technical perspective,EURUSD处于中期多头趋势之中,12month28日开始启动下跌波段,但当前的跌幅还不会破坏中期上涨结构。震荡指标KD的读数逼近20超卖线,意味着继续下跌的空间已经非常有限,一旦快慢线在超卖区向上交叉,行情大概率将触底反弹。MACD指标的柱线处于零轴下方,且绝对值不断放大,意味着中期趋势有转空的可能。综合来看,多数指标认为EURUSD跌势将近,近期触底反弹概率较高。
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There are risks in the market, and investment needs to be cautious. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not consider this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' perspectives may change, and updates will not be notified separately.