CPT MarketsLibya's closure of oil fields raises concerns about oil supply again! Oil prices have increased since the past three weeks...

Brentcrude oil (Brent Oil)：

Brent crude oil rose sharply after closing high on Wednesday and rose to78.43附近，由于利比亚顶级油田的中断加剧了市场对中东紧张局势加剧可能扰乱全球石油供应的担忧，国际原油价格攀升约3%。

在利多数据方面，数据和分析公司OANDA的英国和欧洲、中东和非洲地区高级市场分析师 Craig Erlam 表示，受利比亚最大油田抗议活动和红海进一步袭击的推动，周三油价上涨。利比亚最大的油田之一有完全关闭风险。据消息人士称，由于人员抗议，利比亚最大的油田之一Sharara油田部分工厂被迫停产，产量从26.510000 barrels/Daily decrease23.510000 barrels/日。该油田10口油井已遭关闭，但Zawiya港的抽水工作仍在继续。知情人士表示，如果抗议者要求得不到满足，他们将寻求完全关闭油田。以色列与伊朗支持的巴勒斯坦哈马斯组织的战争延伸至黎巴嫩，哈马斯领导人在贝鲁特被杀，随后以色列加强了对加沙地带的轰炸，油价也随之上涨。以色列既没有确认也没有否认责任。

除此之外，根据美联储 12 月会议纪要，美联储官员似乎越来越相信通胀已得到控制。市场普遍预计美联储将在一月维持利率不变。 CME美联储观察数据显示，美联储2Monthly interest rate maintained at5.25%-5.50%The probability of interval invariance is91.2%Interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is8.8%。到明年3The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is29.2%Accumulated interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is64.8%Accumulated interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is6.0%。较低的利率降低了消费者借贷成本，从而促进经济增长和石油需求。

Press from above(Upper resistance) 78.40，78.80； From the downward direction, the lower support78.00。

CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.