CPT Markets：市场巩固美联储降息预期美元承压！欧央委员淡...

Today's Focus

<span]

USD Index (DXY)：

The dollar index fell to100.71附近，尽管当天缺乏重大新闻，市场依然加大了对美联储快速降息的预期。

Federal Funds Ratefutures显示，市场押注美联储在3月降息的可能性高达88%，相比之下一个月前这一可能性仅为21%。市场预期美联储将在2024Annual interest rate reduction157个基点的，将利率维持在3.00%to3.25%的水平。高盛分析师在其报告中指出，通胀的迅速下降可能导致美联储提前并迅速地调整政策利率。高盛预测美联储将在3Month5Month and6月连续三次降息25个基点，之后每个季度降息一次，直至2025年第三季度将基金利率降至3.25%to3.5%。 2024Annual interest rate reduction5Times,2025年再降息3Times.

In terms of yesterday's financial event data, the US Department of Labor announced that as of12month23日当周初请及续请失业金比预期上升至21.8Wanhe187.5万人，反映出劳动力就业市场有所萎缩。此外，美国商业统计局公布11The monthly wholesale inventory rate is as expected-0.2%。在房市数据方面，全美地产经纪商协会NARpublish11月成屋销售指数年月率整体上升至-5.1%and0%，该指数上升，表明美国房产市场正在改善。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 100.70，101.10； From the downward direction, the lower support100.40。

euro/pound (EURGBP)：

欧元兑英镑周四收盘大幅冲高后，今日开盘涨至0.8698附近，受欧洲央行官员霍尔茨曼言论的提振，欧元/英镑反弹再度测试0.8700。

根据彭博新闻社报道，周四欧洲央行管理委员会成员霍尔兹曼表示，货币政策正常化已经显示出对通胀放缓的影响，但现在考虑降息还为时过早，并补充即使欧洲央行已经结束了史无前例的连续十次加息，也不能保证在明年降息。此一鹰派发表演说后，淡化了 2024 年降息的猜测，为欧元提供了新的支撑。

In terms of yesterday's financial event data, the French Ministry of Labor and Employment Research and Statistics BureauDARESpublish11monthAThe number of unemployed individuals has increased to282.66万人，数据走高意味着就业形势恶化。此外，西班牙国家统计局INEpublish11月零售额年率高于前期至5.2%, showing an increase in market demand for retail goods.

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 0.8690，0.8720； From the downward direction, the lower support0.8650。

CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.