Ultima Markets[Market Hotspot] Low risk preference investors officially come to cut interest rates...

圣诞节假期结束恢复交易后，美国10年期公债利率下滑至3.88%，仍然接近7月底以来的最低水平。 此降幅归因于美国公布通胀淡化数据，推升来年更早、更大幅度的降息预期。

上周五的最新数据显示，11Month USAPCE物价指数下降0.1%This is from2022year2月以来首见下滑，超出华尔街持平的预测。

目前，市场押注联准会于3月例会降息25The probability of a basis point is75%。 依CME FedWatch 工具显示，明年总共降息预计将超过150Basis points.

(美国十年期公债利率)

(2024三月Federal Reserve利率预测，CME FedWatch Tool)

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