Ultima Markets: 【 Market hotspots 】OPECReport calms demand concerns, Brent...

全球领导人齐聚 COP28 气候高峰会，倡导摆脱化石燃料的同时，OPEC对石油需求的预期却出现分歧。OPEC在最新报告中表示2024yearcrude oil需求将强劲成长，全球每日平均需求将增加220Ten thousand barrels, reaching1Billion436Ten thousand barrels.

OPEC将此增长与全球经济复苏挂勾并说明： “随着中国经济改善，全球GDP回温，石油需求将得到支撑。”经济合作与发展组织（OECD）工业化国家的每日需求量预期将成长30万桶，来到平均每日4610万桶。然而，非OECD国家的每日需求量将大幅成长200万桶，来到平均每日5830Ten thousand barrels.

12month 15 日星期五，油市攀升，布兰特原油逼近每桶 77 美元，为两个月以来首周收涨。几个关键因素推动升势，包括联准会对未来利率转鸽派的立场以及近期美元疲软。

此外，新的预测明年全球石油需求将强劲增长，进一步支撑价格。上周，美联储表示可能在2024年降息，引发美元卖压并提振石油等风险资产。美元贬值使得原油等以美元计价的商品对外国买家来说更加便宜。

(布兰特原油USD/BblMonthly chart)

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