Ultima Markets: [Market Analysis] Non US dollar up, New Zealand dollar waiting "Pick up leaks"

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2023 year 12month 15JPY/USDIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

•         非美齐涨：美联储议息会议明显放鸽的态度，引发非美货币普普遍升值。目前就看各国央行之间货币政策宽松时间点的差异。更激进的宽松政策或无法带动货币继续升值。
•         纽联储更为强势：此前11月底新西兰联储表示维持利率不变，同时态度强势表示，利率将需要在更长时间内保持在较高水平。因此从基本面上看，纽联储相对于美联储更具鹰派，因此纽元长期仍具升值趋势。
  

technical analysis

Weekly chart analysis

Weekly chart of New Zealand dollar to US dollar, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

•         Random oscillation index：指标已经进入超买区域内，即将形成空头信号，暗示当前趋势上涨或将暂停，进行震荡。
•         Downward trend line：整个非美货币中，纽元升值趋势最为曲折，主要在于汇价接近今年1月以来的下行趋势线，在没有彻底突破该趋势线前，纽元仍然有进一步回调贬值的概率。
  

4Hour chart analysis

(NZD to USD)4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

•         Random oscillation index：指标已经发出空头信号，暗示短期汇价将迎来回调。
•         Callback support position：纽元兑美元昨日突破下行趋势线后，目前正回调下行。下方支撑价位看向紫色2400周期均线和斐波纳奇回撤位50%One area.
•         Elliott Wave Theory : From10月以来的上涨趋势截至昨晚结构已经完整，行情存在继续盘整的概率。但是基于11月底以来的震荡趋势已经被破坏，因此汇价回调后继续上涨的概率更大。
  

Hub Line Indicators

(NZD to USD)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

•         according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level0.62012，
•         0.62012Upward bullish, first goal0.62392Second objective0.62872
•         0.62012Under bearish, first target0.61532Second objective0.61152
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.Ultima MarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.