CPT Markets: USA10monthPCECooling down increases the Federal Reserve's early interest rate cut bet! Euro...

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<span]today(12month01day)亚市开盘美加货币上涨，其他货币普遍下跌；金价和crude oilBoth are showing a downward trend.foreign exchangeAspect: The US dollar index has risen to103.43； The euro fell against the US dollar to1.0893； The pound fell against the US dollar to1.2631； The US dollar rose against the Japanese yen to147.99； The US dollar fell to1.3558； The Australian dollar fell against the US dollar to0.6606。 In terms of precious metals:goldFalling to USD2039.77。 In terms of crude oil: Brent crude oil fell to80.40。

USD Index (DXY)：

The dollar index rose to103.43Nearby, USA10月个人消费支出价格指数PCE的下降加剧了市场对美联储可能提前降息的预期。

U.S.A10月消费者支出温和增长，PCEThe annual rate is2021年初以来最小，需求降温的迹象可能进一步强化对美联储加息已经结束的预期。消费者支出出现放缓反映了利率上升和低收入家庭过剩储蓄耗尽的影响。尽管工资水平仍处于高位，但随着劳动力市场趋缓，涨幅较今年早些时候有所放缓。由于担心经济可能在2024年初陷入衰退，美国家庭可能不愿消费而是增加储蓄。经济学家对第四季度的增长预期大多低于2%。大多数预计，经济将进入一段非常缓慢的增长期，避免一场全面的衰退。截至周三，市场预计美联储5月会议结束时降息的可能性为78%。 according toCME FedWatch工具，一个月前，市场预计同期降息的可能性仅为41% 。

In terms of yesterday's financial event data, the US Department of Commerce announced10monthPCE物价指数年月率整体下滑至3%and0%，核心年月率同比如预期在3.5%and0.2%，反映出通胀压力有所减缓。此外，美国劳工部公布截至11month18Rihe11month25The number of people applying for and continuing to apply for unemployment benefits for the current week is mixed, falling below expectations21.8Wanhe rose to192.7万人，显示出劳动力就业市场仍随企业需求波动起伏。另外，美国采购经理人协会芝加哥分会公布11monthPMIHigher than expected to55.8, higher than50%时，被认为是制造业的扩张。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 103.40，103.70； From the downward direction, the lower support103.00。

euro/GBP (EURGBP)：

After a significant decline in the euro against the pound on Thursday, it fell to0.8624附近，欧元区物价增长速度降温超过预期后，欧元汇率下跌 0.4%。

欧元区通胀率下降和经济停滞助长市场对欧元区可能很快就会降息的希望。欧元区通胀报告刺激了市场对欧洲央行最快将于明年 4 月开始下调存款利率的猜测。然而，欧央行行长 Lagarde 本周警告说，现在还不是开始宣布胜利的时候，因为薪资压力仍然很大。此外，荷兰国际集团的经济学家分析预测英国央行的所有关键通胀指标在明年前都将朝着正确的方向发展，允许英国央行从明年 8 月开始实施 100 个基点的宽松政策。这可能意味着英镑兑美元将难以维持任何突破1.30的涨幅。

In terms of yesterday's financial event data, the Eurostat announced the Eurozone10Monthly unemployment rate as expected6.5%And the German Bureau of Statistics announced11月失业率微幅上升至5.9% (newspaper2.2ten thousand people)。在通胀数据方面，欧盟统计局EurostatAnnouncement of the Eurozone11Monthly harmonyCPI年率比预期下跌至2.4%, for2021 year7 月以来最缓年率，核心年月率同比回落至4.2%and-0.4%，显示出欧元区通胀压力明显下滑，导致此指标放缓的主要原因是能源成本下降及食品和服务价格成长放缓。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 0.8620，0.8670； From the downward direction, the lower support0.8580。

CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.