Ultima Markets[Market Hotspot] South African Inflation reignited, creating5Month high

必需品和能源带动物价上涨

南非通胀率近期稳定上升，10月数据达5个月之高点至5.9%，其接近南非储备银行目标范围的上缘。此飙升动能主要来自食品、交通、医疗保健以及餐厅和观光饭店费用的上涨。尽管如此，在剔除食品和能源等大幅波动因素后，核心通胀率略有下降至4.4%。

(inflation率，南非统计局)

尽管美元有所疲软，南非兰特仍小幅走低， 1美元约兑18.5南非兰特，但基于通胀放缓的早期讯号，市场投资者正考量权衡2024年降息的前景。

当地人们对南非储备银行（SARB）关键的政策制定抱持高度期待，许多分析师纷纷押注鹰式暂停升息行动。在南非利率调整很大程度取决于特定时间范围内的消费者通胀和兰特汇率波动。

由于担心通胀风险，南非储备银行采取谨慎态度与操作，分别在7Month and9月的货币政策委员会会议上将利率稳定在8.25%。

(dollarExchange南非兰特monthLine diagram)

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