Ultima Markets【 Market Analysis 】 The Australian dollar that buys news and sells facts still exists today...

todayUltimaMarketsBringing you 2023 year 11month10day AUD to USDIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

•         买消息卖事实的澳元：本周二澳洲联储将现金利率上调25Bps to4.35%。由于此前市场早已预期澳联储的加息，澳元前期升值早已计入该信息。后续布洛克暗示进一步收紧政策的障碍加大，导致了澳元走低。
•         不强势的澳联储：实际上市场的定价不仅是澳联储11月加息，还包括在本轮周期内再次加息。但是后续澳洲联储的声明未能证实这种鹰派立场，而是采用了依赖数据的方法来评估进一步紧缩的需求。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（Australia元兑美元日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

•         Random oscillation index：指标发出空头信号后一路下行，澳元短期趋势确认为贬值，值得注意是即将接近50中位线一带，警惕反弹或者反转出现。
•         均线组合：汇价跌破33Rihe65日均线组合形成的移动支撑。昨日汇价在收破在33日均线后，行情继续下行的概率加大。
•         Downward trend line：11month1日汇价上破下行趋势线，今日回踩该趋势线，若就此出现任何空头停止信号，则汇价仍有反转向上概率。
  

4Hour chart analysis

AUD to USD4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

•         Random oscillation index：指标目前未进入超卖，配合行情有一定的底背离形态，暗示当前下跌空间有限，接下来或将进入调整甚至反弹阶段。
•         斐波纳奇回撤位：昨日汇价快速下跌至61.8%斐波那契回撤位，通常这样的快速下跌接近阻力区域有一定的反弹概率。
  

Hub Line Indicators

AUD to USD1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

•         according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level0.63814，
•         0.63814Upward bullish, first goal0.63991Second objective0.64461
•         0.63814Under bearish, first target0.63344Second objective0.63167
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.