Ultima Markets：【行情分析】澳联储政策存悬念，澳元空头准...

todayUltima MarketsBringing you 2023 year 11month 7day AUD to USDIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

•         澳联储货币政策变动：中午澳联储即将公布最新利率决议，由于澳洲第三季度CPI意外强劲，加之房价反弹至接近纪录高位，市场预计澳洲联储在本周加息25个基点的可能性达到60%。相反，若货币政策无任何收紧迹象，澳元兑美元将会进入快速下跌趋势。
•         澳联储新任主席鹰派态度：澳洲联储新任主席布洛克公开讲话表示，“如果通胀前景出现实质性上调，将毫不犹豫地进一步提高现金利率”。对澳洲联储重启加息的预期已经引发了澳元近期的强势上涨。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

Daily chart of AUD/USD, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

•         Random oscillation index：指标进入超买区间，暗示当前多头趋势的强劲。 昨日虽然有转向迹象，但是在没有确认之前不能随意判断反转来临。
•         均线组合：汇价在强势突破33Daily moving average and65日均线后，暗示当前多头趋势来临，上方看向200日均线（虚线），这中间有一定概率回踩绿色5Daily moving average.
  

1Hour chart analysis

AUD to USD1Hour chart, sourceUltimaMarkets MT4）

•         Random oscillation index：指标仍处于超卖区域，配合行情趋势来看，目前处于调整阶段。等待指标出现多头信号后，再关注是否存在交易机会。
•         Building top structure：在高位调整了两个交易日后，行情形成矩形震荡区间，跌破区间后汇价短期极大概率将继续下行，关注下方的支撑价位。
•         Supporting price rangered65周期均线是第一目标支撑位。若行情进入深度调整则继续看向上行通道线的上沿。
  

Hub Line Indicators

AUD to USD1Hour chart, sourceUltimaMarkets MT4）

•         according toUltimaMarkets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level0.64493，
•         0.64493Upward bullish, first goal0.65131Second objective0.65371
•         0.64493Under bearish, first target0.64752Second objective0.64608
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.Ultima MarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.