Ultima MarketsMarket analysis: Crude oil trapped in the moving average range, pregnancy line structure or assistance...

todayUltimaMarketsBringing you 2023 year 11month3Ribrentcrude oilIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

•         俄罗斯供给增加：外媒监测的油轮跟踪数据显示，几周来，俄罗斯的海上原油出口一直超过该国作为欧佩克+协议一部分的目标出口量。最近一周观察到的出口量比目标出口高出3610000 barrels/天。在最近一个时期，其四周平均日出口量比这一水平高出近2010000 barrels/Days.
•         巴以冲突影响逐渐减弱：目前交易商仍然担心会有什么事情导致冲突蔓延到以色列及其近邻以外的地区。但这种影响在稳步减弱，即使在以色列开始地面进攻加沙之后。
  

technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

（原油日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

•         Random oscillation index：快线即将上穿慢线，暗示当前多头力量或将占据上风。但是在没有出现明确信号前依旧暂时看空。
•         KLine structure：油价在周三出现上影线后，昨日收线出现典型的孕线蜡烛结构。今日若突破上影线高点，则行情多头将明确占优，行情或将反转上行。
•         均线组：黑色65日均线和绿色240日均线形成了矩形震荡区间，行情任意方向的突破都可能是接下来的趋势方向。
  

1Hour chart analysis

(Crude oil)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

•         支撑阻力价位：目前油价上方是一个反复验证过的下行趋势线，下方则是黑色65周期均线潜在支撑位。
•         斐波纳奇回撤位：由于昨日的上升趋势内部结构为完整5波结构，暂时判断为驱动浪，等待行情回踩斐波纳奇回撤价位38.2%后，观察是否有继续上行的信号。
•         Random oscillation index：值得注意的是指标当前属于严重超买，亚盘时段有一定回调概率。
  

Hub Line Indicators

(Crude oil)1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

•         according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level87.361，
•         87.361Upward bullish, first goal89.077Second objective89.769
•         87.361Under bearish, first target86.688Second objective84.991
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.