Ultima Markets【 Market Analysis 】 The US dollar index is experiencing a short-term correction, whether it is rising or falling...

Today's Focus--USD Index。

Fundamentally，本周三，有“小非农”之称的ADP就业数据明显低于预期；周四公布的上周初请失业金人数录得20.7万人，仍处于历史低位，依旧凸显出劳动力市场的强劲。

此外，由于季节性招聘计划强劲，美国企业宣布了一年来最少的季度裁员。以上种种都暗示了年内依旧存有加息概率，但是一切仍然需要等待今夜美国非农就业数据的公布。

Technically speaking，日线图上，美元指数连续两日下跌，随机震荡指标再度在超买区域形成死叉，暗示了即将到来的空头趋势。

（美元指数日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

尽管昨日的下跌行情让短期空头趋势的概率增加，但是仍然需要等待今日美元指数有效跌破昨日低点后方可确认。即便跌破昨日低点，下方目标可能也较为有限，第一目标看向蓝色17Near the daily moving average。

（美元指数1Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

1小时图上，行情跌破106.23一带的支撑位置，ATR组合指标暗示跌破的有效性。等待价格回踩后是否有进一步的下行的机会。

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