Ultima MarketsMarket analysis: Shanghai gold market is soaring, but gold prices are unwilling to show weakness, waiting...

Today's Focus--gold。

Fundamentally,近期国内金价与国际金价产生了较大的背离走势，但是国内沪金的多头驱动更多是因为本币贬值，黄金进口也收到限制的影响。

国际伦金很难受此驱动，但是随着各国的货币政策走到尾声，配合通胀回落以及经济下行的预期，国际金价有一定的上行动能。目前来看，市场仍需要一个刺激锚点来让金价再度开启长期的多头趋势。

Technically,黄金日线图上的随机震荡指标金叉确立，暗示多头趋势的到来。

(Gold daily chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

行情自上周四触及200日均线后迎来了反弹趋势，不过值得注意的是上方即将触及下行趋势线，剩余反弹空间较狭窄。

（黄金4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

4小时图上，随机震荡指标已经进入超买区域，暗示了黄金潜在的多头或将受阻。不过从图表上看，行情触及200周期均线后，大实体阳K突破了上周五以来的盘整区间，亚盘大概率仍将延续多头趋势。

（黄金1Hourly cycle chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1930.16，

1930.16Upward bullish, first goal1937.62Second objective1941.74

1930.16Under bearish, first target1925.98Second objective1918.40

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