Ultima Markets: 【 Market hotspot 】 United States8The monthly inflation data is mixed,CP...

US Department of Labor(BLS) 9month13Daily release8Monthly consumer price index(CPI) Annual increase3.7%Slightly higher than market estimates3.6%, also higher than the previous value3.2%; However, excluding the core of food and energy costsCPIAnnual increase4.3%, in line with market estimates and below previous values4.7%It is the smallest increase in the past two years, but still higher thanFedof2%Goal.

  

(US Consumer Price IndexCPI)

According to the detailed observation in the self report, energy is from the United States8monthCPIThe main cause of growth, accounting forCPIMore than half of the increase, growing on a monthly basis5.6%Far higher than last month's0.1%Growth rate. On an annual basis,8Annual increase in monthly housing prices 7.3%, occupying the core CPI of 70% above.

However, the housing inflation rate is significantly decreasing, and the slowdown in growth is becoming more apparent,8 Monthly transportation (10.3%) Defeating housing for the first time and becoming the core CPI The biggest driving factor. OPEC+Oil countries reduce production, and the United Auto Workers of America (The UnitedAuto Workers)For General Motors, Ford, andStellantisThe threat of a strike has laid the groundwork for the fight against inflation.

thisCPI The report isFedLast important economic data to be seen before next week's monetary policy meeting, Chishang ExchangeFedWatchTool Display, interest ratefuturesThe market estimates that the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged next week is97%Raising interest rates1 code(25 bps )The probability is only3%. However11Hold still and raise interest rates at the monthly meeting1The probability of each code being shared 6Cheng and Jin4Cheng.

(Detail classificationMoM% & YoY%， U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS)

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