Ultima MarketsMarket analysis: The opportunity for pound and bull bears is approaching, but in the long run...

Today's Focus on Varieties--英镑兑纽元。

Fundamentally,上周三新西兰联储公布最新利率决议，暗示了加息周期结束，新西兰纽元相对其他货币开始持续贬值。因此短期内纽元不太可能有太大的提振。从中期来看，新西兰经济有一些潜在的积极因素，但可能必须看到外部需求的一些改善和旅游业的加速恢复。

相较于英央行未来依旧存在加息的概率，英镑兑纽元的升值趋势或将继续保持，短期关注空头后需要在下方择机继续看多英镑兑纽元。

Technically,英镑兑纽元日线周期上随机震荡指标昨日形成死叉向下，基于目前汇率高企，今日有一定概率继续下行。

（英镑兑纽元日线周期，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

bareK结构来看昨日实体阴K已经跌破8month18日下影线的低点价位，行情继续快速上涨概率较小，至少短期有一定的回调需求，目前受阻于7日均线价位。

（英镑兑纽元1Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

1小时周期上，英镑兑纽元的裸K结构较为明确。行情再8month21日涨破收敛三角形区间后，再度震荡随后假突破后快速下跌。目前汇价已经跌破65周期均线，日内在回踩均线后关注随机震荡指标的信号，是否有顺势做空的机会。

（英镑兑纽元1Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level2.14408，

2.14408Upward bullish, first goal2.14784Second objective2.15754

2.14408Under bearish, first target2.13448Second objective2.13082

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