Today's Focus on Varieties--EUR/USD。
Fundamentally,本周市场更多关注欧元区PMIdata Current market judgment on the European Central Bank9月大概率不加息,若PMI数据暗示经济低迷,则欧央行加息概率进一步下行,欧元兑美元汇率将继续贬值。反之,本周PMI表面经济扩张明显,通胀依旧由继续上行的风险,则9月欧央行利率决议仍然保持悬念。
Technically,欧元兑美元日线周期上随机震荡指标昨日明确金叉信号,暗示欧元多头开启。
(EUR USD daily cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
But fromK线走势来看行情暂时不能认为反转来临,更多判断为反弹趋势,65日均线为潜在的回踩目标位。
(EUR/USD)4Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
4小时周期上,欧元兑美元也已经来到关键的65周期均线附近,该位置同样是1Hourly cycle240周期均线附近,双周期的双重压制导致市场重点关注汇率是否能有效突破。
(EUR/USD)1Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
若行情再度跌破1小时周期的红色7周期均线,可以关注更小周期例如15分钟周期上,行情是否存在明确的下跌驱动浪,关注日内的空头机会。
(EUR/USD)1Hourly cycle, sourceUltima Markets MT4)
according toUltima Markets MT4InpivotIndicator, daily central price level1.08913,
1.08913Upward bullish, first goal1.09203Second objective1.09432
1.08913Under bearish, first target1.08703Second objective1.08408
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