Wan Jinsheng8.21There may be a rebound in the low level horizontal trading of gold,85Try lower on top!

SaygoldPreviously, Jin Sheng first analyzed the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, taking into account the international economic situation and the unprecedented changes in a century. At present, there are three major international foam: the U.S. stock market, China's property market, and Japan's bond market. The high interest rate hike that lasted for more than a year, which was only temporarily postponed after the successive bankruptcies of banks. Now inflation has almost dropped, but there is no intention of stopping. The latest minutes of the currency meeting indicate that there may be another interest rate hike next time.

The reason for interest rate hikes, besides inflation, is to focus on the Chinese real estate market. Why did Evergrande and Country Garden first experience thunderstorms? Due to borrowing a large amount of US debt, high interest rates and depreciation of the exchange rate have increased the amount of maturing debt that cannot be repaid. The United States is taking this opportunity to attack the Chinese real estate market, although it is under high interest pressure, now it depends on who cannot sustain it first. A few years ago, China set three red lines for real estate to avoid major problems, and from a national perspective, the risk should be controllable.

What does the unprecedented upheaval mean? Looking back at the last years of the Qing Dynasty, which was also a major upheaval that had not occurred in a century, it is clear that the world pattern, international power, and status were redefined. And now the evolution is accelerating, and this process will not be too fast or too slow. The struggle will only become more intense, from trade war to technology war, and now to financial war and economic decoupling, which is exactly what the Federal Reserve is doing.

So although the US Reserve's interest rate hike is nearing its end, it will not soon switch to a rate cut. Even if the hike is stopped, it will remain high for a period of time, and the game of big powers depends on who can't bear it first. Therefore, gold has been significantly under pressure and has fallen recently. The daily trend has been continuously negative and weak, falling below the previous low1893Touching1885Support. On Friday, the US market continued to rise and fall, with a cyclical decline in the early morning. Fortunately, it did not continue to break below, with a daily crossKAt the end of the trading day, we can consider trying to hold a light position and hold a long position. It is not recommended to hold a low position and chase a short position at the moment, with support from below1885—1871。

In addition, the US Index is significantly under pressureKTrendline pressure103.6Two consecutive trading days of high cross closingKThe reduction of indicators highlights the potential demand for withdrawal next week; Ten year treasury bond4.3Press down on the high double top and continue to watch the fall. So, gold may rebound next week, with a focus on the beginning of the week1885The upper part can be considered to be much lower, considering the pressure1900—1903！

Trading Review: Last week, a total of six gold orders were processed and harvested40It's still good to have no losses in US dollars;crude oilOperating a single loss8US dollars; Overall harvest32Profit in US dollars. Whether it's rhythm control or point layout, it's quite accurate, and there are big gains and small achievements in the actual market.

　　8.14On Monday, gold started off well,1915Short order US market closing profit1904Profit11dollar;8.15Tuesday1910Stop profit before empty rest1904Frontline, small profit6dollar.

　　8.16Wednesday1907The air precision is at its highest point, and there are minutes of the US Reserve meeting in the early morning. Before the break, the profit is stopped1900First line, take it down7dollar.

　　8.17Thursday1894Duozhiying1900; evening1900Backhand empty stop surplus1890; Accurately grasp and win two orders during multi space conversion16US dollars. crude oil79.8Light warehouse empty stop loss80.6Loss8dollar.

　　8.18Friday's rebound around1890—1892Many, but the rebound in the US market did not meet expectations, with the highest offer being1896—1897Unable to leave at the original price without breaking even.

Last week, the daily fluctuation of gold was not significant, but it does not mean that there was no opportunity. The accumulated profit from operating a few orders is still possible. The market is limited, with one to two orders per day. To grasp the strength of the spot, Jinsheng only makes the most stable orders.

——Wen/Wan Jinsheng/Work duplicate sign/Jinsheng Bojin (Guidance:848331077orXJWMX33）, Please indicate the source for reprinting, investment is risky, and you should be cautious when entering the market!