Ultima MarketsMarket Review and Prospects: Inflation Data Intensive Coming, Interest Rate hikes...

Last week's market review

上周，市场聚焦于crude oil市场，欧佩克月报维持2023年全球原油需求增速预期不变，为每日244Ten thousand barrels,2024年预期稍有下调至每日220万桶。沙特减产令7月欧佩克石油产量降至273110000 barrels/Day.

In addition, the United States7月通胀数据也备受关注。未季调核心CPIAnnual rate recorded4.7%, from2021year10月以来的新低。旧金山联储主席戴利表示，CPI数据基本符合预期。无论是加息还是维持利率不变，现在都言之过早。他预计明年将进行降息讨论，这将取决于经济和通胀的走势。

Market outlook

本周市场关注焦点集中在通胀数据和央行政策上，各国经济指标的公布以及重要央行会议纪要将引发投资者对市场走向的深入思考。投资者应当密切留意经济数据的公布和央行动向，以便把握市场走势的变化。

通货膨胀观察

加拿大、英国和欧元区竟在本周轮番公布最新的CPI数据。关注各地区通胀水平在紧缩货币政策背景下的表现，可能对未来央行政策产生影响。尤其是在美联储年内降息预期跌至1成之际，若其他央行有更多鹰派政策的预期，或将显著提振相应货币汇率。

新西兰联储利率决议

市场预期利率将保持不变，市场预期纽联储或将维持利率不变至明年一季度，投资者将关注联储对经济前景的评估。

美国数据本周依旧有影响

周二美国公布零售销售月率，预计数据录得反弹，对美元和美联储政策预期产生影响。此外，周四美联储公布最新会议纪要，市场或将从中了解美联储对经济和通胀问题的看法和政策预期。

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